Friday, April 1, 2011

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 020050
SWODY1
SPC AC 020048

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0748 PM CDT FRI APR 01 2011

VALID 020100Z - 021200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...E TX AND NW LA...
HIGH-BASED CONVECTION HAS BEEN TRYING TO DEEPEN ACROSS NE TX
ALONG/AHEAD OF A TRIPLE POINT/DRYLINE AS A MINOR IMPULSE EMBEDDED IN
FAST WNW FLOW ARRIVES. 00Z FWD SOUNDING SUGGESTED THAT WHILE THE
BOUNDARY LAYER MIXED/DRIED CONSIDERABLY DURING THE HEATING CYCLE...A
THIN LAYER OF MOISTURE WAS SAMPLED AROUND 730 MB. ASCENT AND THE
MEAGER MOISTURE MAY YET BE SUFFICIENT FOR A COUPLE OF TSTMS E AND SE
OF THE DFW METROPLEX THIS EVENING. BEFORE THE BOUNDARY LAYER COOLS
SIGNIFICANTLY...SUB-CLOUD LAYERS WILL BE RELATIVELY DRY AND GUSTY
WINDS /ISOLD SVR/ MAY ACCOMPANY ANY SUSTAINED STORM. OTHERWISE...
ACTIVITY WILL WEAKEN AND STREAM EWD INTO PARTS OF LA OVERNIGHT.

...MIDWEST/MID-OH VALLEY...
COMBINATION OF VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES /MINUS 30 DEG C AT H5/ AND
PWATS JUST BELOW ONE-HALF OF AN INCH HAVE CONTRIBUTED TO
DIURNALLY-ENHANCED CONVECTION/TSTMS ACROSS THE REGION. ACTIVITY
SHOULD DIMINISH THROUGH THE EVENING WITH LOSS OF INSOLATION. UNTIL
THEN...SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS MAY ACCOMPANY A COUPLE OF STORMS.

..RACY.. 04/02/2011

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