SWODY1
SPC AC 170057
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0757 PM CDT MON MAY 16 2011
VALID 170100Z - 171200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...MID-ATLANTIC STATES/DELMARVA...
WITHIN A LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE CONUS...WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY THIS EVENING REFLECTS A COMPACT CLOSED LOW PIVOTING
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE GA/SC COASTAL VICINITY...WITH A
SECONDARY PORTION OF THE TROUGH SHIFTING SOUTHWARD OVER THE OH
VALLEY. WITHIN A CONFLUENCE AXIS/FRONTAL BAND NORTH OF A NC SURFACE
LOW...TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THIS EVENING
ACROSS THE DELMARVA/SOUTHEAST PA AND TOWARD THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS. THE 00Z WASHINGTON-DULLES OBSERVED RAOB REFLECTED
ABOUT 1200 J/KG OF SBCAPE WITHIN A MODESTLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT
OWING TO A WEAK LOW-MID TROPOSPHERIC WIND FIELD. HOWEVER...GIVEN
INCREASING CINH WITHIN THE BOUNDARY LAYER...ANY SEVERE THREAT IS
EXPECTED TO BE RATHER ISOLATED/MARGINAL THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT.
...SOUTHEAST MT...
DPVA/INCREASINGLY STRONG WIND FIELD OVER THE NORTHERN HIGH
PLAINS...COUPLED WITH A RELATIVELY WARM/MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER...MAY
YIELD SOME CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED STRONG WIND GUSTS THROUGH EARLY/MID
EVENING.
..GUYER.. 05/17/2011
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
No comments:
Post a Comment