SWOD48
SPC AC 130823
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0323 AM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011
VALID 161200Z - 211200Z
...DISCUSSION...
GFS AND ECMWF ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT REGARDING THE LARGE SCALE
EVOLUTION OF HIGH LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE CONUS DURING THE MEDIUM
RANGE PERIOD. BOTH MODELS SUGGEST DOMINANT SFC RIDGE...POSITIONED
IN THE MEAN ACROSS THE ERN PLAINS/MS VALLEY...WILL LIMIT MEANINGFUL
INSTABILITY TO EXTREME SOUTH FL AND PORTIONS OF TX...AND THAT SHOULD
NOT DEVELOP UNTIL MID WEEK. WHILE TRANSIENT SHORTWAVES WILL MIGRATE
ACROSS THE AFOREMENTIONED REGIONS OF INSTABILITY...THE OVERALL
SEVERE PREDICTABILITY IS A BIT TOO LOW TO WARRANT A SEVERE OUTLOOK
THIS PERIOD.
..DARROW.. 05/13/2011
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
No comments:
Post a Comment