Thursday, May 12, 2011

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0754

ACUS11 KWNS 121346
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 121346
TXZ000-121445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0754
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0846 AM CDT THU MAY 12 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...S-CNTRL THROUGH N-CNTRL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 121346Z - 121445Z

STORMS MAY CONTINUE TO DEVELOP EWD AND NEWD THROUGH CNTRL AND
N-CNTRL TX. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS. A
WW MAY BE NEEDED SOON.

EARLY THIS MORNING STORMS CONTINUE TO INCREASE ALONG LEADING EDGE OF
MCS COLD POOL FROM JUST SW OF STEPHENVILLE SWD THROUGH S-CNTRL TX.
SOME UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE FUTURE EVOLUTION OF THE
ACTIVITY SINCE THE BOUNDARY LAYER HAS NOT RECOVERED. HOWEVER...THE
DOWNSTREAM ATMOSPHERE IS MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH 2000 J/KG MUCAPE
AND STORMS MAY EVENTUALLY BECOME SURFACE BASED AS THE SURFACE LAYER
UNDERGOES SLOW BUT GRADUAL WARMING.

..DIAL.. 05/12/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...EWX...

LAT...LON 30049801 30829802 31609811 32129827 33019712 32589620
30569620 29289687 30049801

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