SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221615
ARZ000-MSZ000-221745-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0850
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1115 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AR INTO NRN MS/SWRN TN
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 321...
VALID 221615Z - 221745Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 321
CONTINUES.
A FEW STRONGER CORES CONTINUE TO REGENERATE UPSHEAR ATOP OUTFLOW
FROM PREVIOUS CONVECTION OVER CNTRL AR. WITH STRONG INSTABILITY IN
PLACE AND A PERSISTENT FEED OF MOISTURE NEWD...THIS TREND MAY
PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...OVERALL ORGANIZATION OF THIS
ACTIVITY APPEARS MINIMAL...WITH SPORADIC HAIL CORES LIKELY AND HEAVY
RAIN.
SHEAR PROFILES IN THIS AREA ARE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS
THOUGH...AND EVEN A BRIEF TORNADO. THUS...WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR
THIS AREA FOR ANY UPSCALE GROWTH.
..JEWELL.. 05/22/2011
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...
LAT...LON 35259369 35509133 35069060 34379069 33569123 33339236
33239327 33629376 34309401 34569410 35259369
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