Wednesday, June 8, 2011

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1135

ACUS11 KWNS 081850
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081849
MIZ000-WIZ000-082015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1135
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0149 PM CDT WED JUN 08 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...UPR PENINSULA OF MI...CNTRL/ERN WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 081849Z - 082015Z

TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR AN INCREASING SEVERE THREAT AND THE
POSSIBILITY OF A WW.

WEAK MID-LEVEL COOLING IS ONGOING...SOUTH OF THE SHORT WAVE IMPULSE
ACCELERATING WITHIN THE CONFLUENT MID-LEVEL FLOW ACROSS AND NORTH OF
THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION. THIS IS CONTRIBUTING TO WEAKENING
INHIBITION ALONG AN AXIS OF STRONGER PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE HEATING
ACROSS CENTRAL WISCONSIN INTO THE UPPER PENINSULA OF
MICHIGAN...WHERE MIXED LAYER CAPE NOW IS ON THE ORDER OF 2000-3000+
J/KG. IN THE PRESENCE OF SHEARED 40-50+ KT DEEP LAYER WESTERLY
FLOW... POTENTIAL APPEARS TO EXIST FOR ORGANIZED STORM DEVELOPMENT
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

..KERR.. 06/08/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...APX...MQT...GRB...MKX...ARX...

LAT...LON 45718894 46368797 45948490 43318881 43359025 44189054
45718894

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