SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162013
ALZ000-FLZ000-MSZ000-162115-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1247
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0313 PM CDT THU JUN 16 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...MS/AL
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 162013Z - 162115Z
CONVECTIVE COVERAGE IS INCREASING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE GULF
STATES...AND WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DMGG WINDS AND HAIL. AREA
IS BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.
MORE ROBUST CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON AS AMPLE DIURNAL
HEATING HAS LED TO TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S. LARGER SCALE /ALBEIT
WEAK/ UPPER TROUGHING IN ADDITION TO SEVERAL SMALLER SCALE UPPER
DISTURBANCES HAVE PROVIDED SUBTLE FORCING FOR ASCENT AMONGST
NUMEROUS REMNANT AND NEW OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. GIVEN STRONG
INSTABILITY...PRESENCE OF INCREASINGLY VIGOROUS CONVECTION...AND AN
AIR MASS THAT HAS GENERALLY NOT BEEN OVERTURNED BY PREVIOUS
CONVECTION YET...A WW IS BEING CONSIDERED.
..HURLBUT.. 06/16/2011
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...MEG...JAN...
LAT...LON 33269093 34179065 34128872 32178759 31248713 30668796
31038900 32809095 33269093
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