SWODY3
SPC AC 260658
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0158 AM CDT FRI AUG 26 2011
VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
...NEW ENGLAND...
HURRICANE IRENE IS EXPECTED TO TRACK JUST OFF THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC
COAST AND MOVE INLAND OVER SRN NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY. ALTHOUGH SOME
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THIS STORM MOVES TOWARD MORE NRN
LATITUDES...OF PARTICULAR CONCERN IS THE POSSIBILITY FOR MORE
FAVORABLE NERN QUAD OF STORM TO OVERSPREAD PORTIONS OF ERN LONG
ISLAND/RI/SERN MA. SHEAR PROFILES WILL CERTAINLY FAVOR ROTATING
UPDRAFTS WITHIN FAVORED ERN SEMICIRCLE BUT IT/S NOT ENTIRELY CLEAR
WHETHER SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY WILL SPREAD/DEVELOP INLAND TO SUPPORT
ROBUST UPDRAFTS NECESSARY TO WARRANT ANY MEANINGFUL RISK OF
TORNADOES. AT THIS TIME WILL NOT INTRODUCE SEVERE PROBS ACROSS THIS
REGION DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY OF INSTABILITY ACROSS SRN NEW ENGLAND.
...ELSEWHERE...
GENERALLY WEAK CONVECTION/TSTM ACTIVITY WILL TRACK SEWD ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL PLAINS IN RESPONSE TO DIGGING SHORTWAVE
TROUGH. OTHER...STRONGLY DIURNAL...ACTIVITY WILL EVOLVE ACROSS MUCH
OF THE SWRN U.S./SRN ROCKIES AND THE FL PENINSULA. IN MOST AREAS
SHEAR/INSTABILITY APPEAR INADEQUATE TO WARRANT ORGANIZED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS.
..DARROW.. 08/26/2011
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
No comments:
Post a Comment