Thursday, August 4, 2011

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1858

ACUS11 KWNS 042307
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 042306
ALZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-050000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1858
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0606 PM CDT THU AUG 04 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHEAST AND CENTRAL MS...EXTREME WESTERN ALABAMA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 727...

VALID 042306Z - 050000Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 727
CONTINUES.

A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS HAD BECOME ALIGNED ALONG REMNANT
QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT FROM WEST OF HSV SWWD THROUGH TUP TO NORTH OF
GWO. ALSO...RADAR INDICATED A PRONOUNCED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...FROM
WEAKENING CONVECTION SOUTH OF CBM...STRETCHED FROM NEAR THE FRONT
ABOUT 20 SW OF TUP TO WELL SOUTH OF CBM. GIVEN THE NLY FLOW ALOFT
...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN MOST INTENSE AND SEVERE AS THEY
DROP SWD THROUGH NRN AND INTO CENTRAL MS...ALONG AND WEST OF OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY...WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE STILL IN THE 90S WITH DEWPOINTS IN
THE MID 70S.

WHILE THE STORMS FROM WEST OF HSV TO EAST OF TUP MAY STILL BE
SEVERE...THEY ARE LIKELY TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO AS
THEY MOVE SWD INTO THE MORE STABLE AND COOLER AIR MASS LOCATED
BEHIND OUTFLOW BOUNDARY.

..IMY.. 08/04/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON 33059034 34138999 34418966 35008927 35028822 34968752
34308761 33578760 32568783 32588874 32858977 33059034

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