Friday, August 5, 2011

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1868

ACUS11 KWNS 052327
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052326
NDZ000-SDZ000-060100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1868
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0626 PM CDT FRI AUG 05 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...THE DAKOTAS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 729...

VALID 052326Z - 060100Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 729
CONTINUES.

ARCING STORM CLUSTER CONTINUES SHIFTING EWD ACROSS THE WRN DAKOTAS
ATTM...AND IS BEGINNING TO APPROACH ERN PORTIONS OF WW 729. A
FORECAST INCREASE IN THE LOW-LEVEL JET IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS
INTO THE CENTRAL DAKOTAS ALONG WITH THE FAVORABLY UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT IN PLACE SUGGESTS THAT STORMS WILL CONTINUE --
REDEVELOPING ALONG THE ADVANCING COLD POOL.

GIVEN THE EXPECTED EWD SPREAD OF SEVERE POTENTIAL...NEW WW WILL
LIKELY BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT HOUR FARTHER E INTO THE CENTRAL
DAKOTAS.

..GOSS.. 08/05/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FGF...FSD...ABR...BIS...UNR...

LAT...LON 47230186 47910062 48049851 46229783 43579955 43400157
43520374 45180226 47230186

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