SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092307
NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-100030-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1922
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0607 PM CDT TUE AUG 09 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NY/PA/MD...NJ...DE
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 755...
VALID 092307Z - 100030Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 755
CONTINUES.
SPORADIC POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD EXIST FOR THE
NEXT FEW HOURS...BUT OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE WANING
AND THE NEED FOR AN ADDITIONAL WW BEYOND 01Z SCHEDULED EXPIRATION
APPEARS UNLIKELY ATTM.
SCATTERED TSTMS FROM THE ADIRONDACK MTNS SWD TO THE ERN MD SHORE
SHOULD POSE AN ISOLATED RISK FOR WET MICROBURSTS THROUGH AROUND
01Z. HOWEVER...OVERALL SEVERE THREAT SHOULD WANE. THIS IS LIKELY DUE
TO SHORT WAVE IMPULSE SHIFTING NEWD ACROSS NRN NY AND ASSOCIATED
FORCING ASCENT DIMINISHING THROUGH THE EVENING...AS WELL AS THE LACK
OF GREATER DESTABILIZATION IN THE WAKE OF EARLY AFTERNOON
CONVECTION. WITH TEMPERATURES ALREADY COOLING THROUGH THE 70S IN
MOST OF THE WW AREA...THE GREATEST RELATIVE SHORT-TERM SEVERE THREAT
LIKELY WILL EXIST ALONG THE SRN PERIPHERY AND S OF THE WW FROM SRN
NJ INTO DE/ERN MD WHERE LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE STEEPEST.
..GRAMS.. 08/09/2011
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...AKQ...CTP...
LAT...LON 43337472 43767439 44047410 43927355 42467357 40547438
38447519 38147549 38127584 38277612 38577621 39077592
40437574 41087588 41967548 42677499 43337472
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
No comments:
Post a Comment