Friday, August 26, 2011

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2062

ACUS11 KWNS 262358
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262358
NCZ000-270130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2062
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0658 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 262358Z - 270130Z

THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY LIKELY AS ROTATING
CELLS MOVE ONSHORE THIS EVENING. A TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE
ISSUED BY 0030Z FOR AREAS ACROSS ERN NC AND THE OUTER BANKS.

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED ABOUT 200 STATUTE
MILES SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS WITH THE OUTER EDGE OF THE RAINSHIELD
ALREADY MOVING INLAND ACROSS ERN NC. WITHIN THE RAINBAND...SEVERAL
ROTATING STORMS ARE ONGOING FROM NEAR CAPE HATTERAS EWD TO ABOUT 100
STATUTE MILES OFFSHORE. THE ENVIRONMENT NORTH OF THE CENTER OF IRENE
IS CHARACTERIZED BY STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR /0-1 KM SHEAR VALUES
ABOVE 40 KT/ AND ABUNDANT MOISTURE /PRECIPITABLE WATER OF GREATER
THAN 2 INCHES. AS LOW-LEVEL SHEAR INCREASES GRADUALLY THIS
EVENING...THIS SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A THREAT FOR ROTATING
STORMS AND TORNADOES. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR TORNADOES SHOULD
REMAIN VERY FOCUSED IN A NARROW CORRIDOR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST
AND IN THE CAPE HATTERAS AREA.

..BROYLES.. 08/26/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...

LAT...LON 36157575 36127709 35427822 34497882 33757824 34367679
35017532 35947504 36157575

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