Friday, September 9, 2011

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 100044
SWODY1
SPC AC 100042

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0742 PM CDT FRI SEP 09 2011

VALID 100100Z - 101200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN AZ/SERN CA...
DIFFLUENT/DIVERGENT HIGH-LVL FLOW OVER THE DESERT SW DOWNSTREAM FROM
A DIGGING UPR LOW OVER CNTRL CA HAS BOOSTED LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AND
RESULTED IN MODEST TSTM COVERAGE FROM SERN CA INTO AZ. NEAR MINUS
10 DEG C H5 TEMPS COMBINED WITH PWATS OF NEAR/JUST ABOVE AN INCH
HAVE BOOSTED BUOYANCY WITH MLCAPES OF A FEW HUNDRED J PER KG ACROSS
THE REGION. COUPLED WITH CLOUD-BEARING SHEAR IN EXCESS OF 35
KTS...ISOLD STRONG MULTICELLS WILL CONTINUE TO BE AN
ISSUE...PARTICULARLY FROM THE LWR CO RVR VLY EWD INTO SERN AZ
THROUGH MID-EVE. HIGH CLOUD BASES/DRY SUB-CLOUD LAYER WILL BE
CONDUCIVE FOR MICROBURSTS AND THE RELATIVELY COOL MID-LVL
TEMPERATURES/SUFFICIENT SHEAR WILL RESULT IN MRGLLY SVR HAILSTONES.

..RACY.. 09/10/2011

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