Sunday, October 16, 2011

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 170056
SWODY1
SPC AC 170054

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0754 PM CDT SUN OCT 16 2011

VALID 170100Z - 171200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
FOR THE FL KEYS/STRAITS AND FAR SOUTH FL PENINSULA...THE 00Z
OBSERVED KEY WEST FL SOUNDING/RECENT WSR-88D VWP DATA SAMPLE
SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL SHEAR FOR SOME WEAKLY ROTATING UPDRAFTS IN
ASSOCIATION WITH SHOWERS/POSSIBLE EMBEDDED TSTMS WITHIN A
MOIST/TROPICAL AIRMASS. HOWEVER...ANY WATERSPOUT/TORNADO THREAT
SHOULD BE VERY LIMITED/LOCALIZED ESPECIALLY GIVEN WEAK LAPSE
RATES/WEAK BUOYANCY...SUCH THAT SEVERE PROBABILITIES DO NOT APPEAR
WARRANTED.

ELSEWHERE...TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON AN ISOLATED BASIS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN NY THROUGH THE NIGHT.

..GUYER.. 10/17/2011

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