Wednesday, October 26, 2011

DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 260715
SWODY3
SPC AC 260714

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0214 AM CDT WED OCT 26 2011

VALID 281200Z - 291200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
A PROGRESSIVE LONGWAVE REGIME WILL PERSIST INTO FRIDAY...WITH
SEVERAL EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES TRAVERSING A LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE CONUS. GIVEN THIS LARGE SCALE
SCENARIO...APPRECIABLE CYCLOGENESIS IS NOT ANTICIPATED INLAND ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST CONUS...BUT TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS FL AND
PERHAPS ADJACENT SOUTHEAST STATES ALONG/AHEAD OF AN ADVANCING COLD
FRONT. IT SHOULD ALSO BE NOTED THAT CURRENT HURRICANE RINA
/REFERENCE THE LATEST NHC FORECASTS/ AND ITS UNCERTAIN INFLUENCE
PROVIDE A DEGREE OF FORECAST UNCERTAINTY FOR THE PERIOD AS IT
POTENTIALLY MOVES TOWARD THE FAR SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO. WHILE ANY
CONSIDERATION OF STRONG/SEVERE TSTM POTENTIAL WOULD BE RELEGATED TO
THE SOUTHERN HALF OF FL ON FRIDAY...THIS POTENTIAL APPEARS
NEGLIGIBLE AT THIS TIME SUCH THAT SEVERE PROBABILITIES ARE NOT
CURRENTLY WARRANTED.

..GUYER.. 10/26/2011

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