Sunday, November 13, 2011

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 140035
SWODY1
SPC AC 140033

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0633 PM CST SUN NOV 13 2011

VALID 140100Z - 141200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

A LINE OF THE THUNDERSTORMS IS CURRENTLY ONGOING IN LOWER MI JUST
AHEAD OF THE AXIS OF A GREAT LAKES SHORTWAVE TROUGH EVIDENT ON WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY. THE LINE SHOULD PROGRESS SEWD TO AROUND DETROIT WHERE
THE THUNDER AREA HAS BEEN EXTENDED NWD TO INCLUDE MUCH OF LOWER MI.
FURTHER TO THE SOUTH ACROSS SRN IL...IND AND WRN OH...MODEL
FORECASTS EXPAND A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH WARM
ADVECTION ON THE NRN SIDE OF A STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL JET. FOR THIS
REASON...THE THUNDER AREA IN THE OH VALLEY HAS BEEN MAINTAINED.
OTHERWISE...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR ACROSS SE AZ THIS EVENING.
NONE OF THE ACTIVITY ACROSS THE CONUS IS EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE
TONIGHT.

..BROYLES.. 11/14/2011

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