Monday, November 28, 2011

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 290058
SWODY1
SPC AC 290057

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0657 PM CST MON NOV 28 2011

VALID 290100Z - 291200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTHEAST/MID SOUTH REGION...
FEW CHANGES MADE TO THE FORECAST THIS UPDATE...AS UPPER LOW CENTERED
OVER THE REGION CONTINUES TO WRAP UP/INTENSIFY WHILE MOVING SLOWLY
NEWD.

AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT CONTINUES SHIFTING INTO THE
ATLANTIC...WITH THE TRIPLE POINT PROGGED TO MOVE NEWD ACROSS THE
CAROLINAS THROUGH THE PERIOD IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE NWD-MOVING
SURFACE LOW. AS THIS OCCURS...NARROW CORRIDOR OF VERY LOW-END
SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL LIKEWISE SHIFT NEWD ACROSS THE COASTAL
CAROLINAS. ANY WIND/TORNADO THREAT IS QUITE MARGINAL/MINIMAL...WITH
THE LACK OF LIGHTNING OBSERVED IN THE WARM SECTOR UP TO THIS POINT
CONFIRMING THE MEAGER INSTABILITY.

A THUNDER AREA IS HOWEVER BEING ADDED OVER PARTS OF KY AND
VICINITY...WHERE A WEAK LAYER OF ELEVATED INSTABILITY IN THE ROUGHLY
600-300 MB LAYER IS SUPPORTING A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES WITHIN
CONVEYOR-BELT PRECIPITATION SHIELD.

..GOSS.. 11/29/2011

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