SWODY1
SPC AC 170042
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0642 PM CST WED NOV 16 2011
VALID 170100Z - 171200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SERN VA TO THE ERN FL
PANHANDLE...
...SERN VA TO THE ERN FL PANHANDLE...
PRE-FRONTAL QLCS FROM CNTRL SC TO THE FL PANHANDLE SHOULD CONTINUE
TO EVOLVE E/NEWD THIS EVENING. THE RELATIVELY GREATEST SEVERE THREAT
SHOULD EXIST WITHIN THE NRN PORTION OF THIS QLCS GIVEN AN AXIS OF
40+ KT LOW-LEVEL SWLYS FROM CNTRL GA TO SRN VA. EMBEDDED BOWING
STRUCTURES/MESOVORTICES WILL MAINTAIN A THREAT FOR DAMAGING
WINDS/BRIEF TORNADOES. PLEASE REFER TO MCD 2336 FOR ADDITIONAL
SHORT-TERM INFORMATION.
FARTHER N...WEAKENING OF EARLIER CONVECTION AND EVOLUTION TO
PRIMARILY STRATIFORM RAIN HAS LIKELY TEMPORARILY STABILIZED PORTIONS
OF THE NC/VA PIEDMONT. NEVERTHELESS...A RECENT INCREASE IN
REFLECTIVITY/CG LIGHTNING TRENDS HAS OCCURRED ALONG THE COLD FRONT
AND SYNOPTIC CYCLONE IN S-CNTRL VA. AMIDST THE EXIT REGION OF AN
INTENSE LLJ /55 KT AT 1 KM AGL IN 00Z GSO RAOB/...A SUSTAINED QLCS
WITH POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND BRIEF TORNADOES WILL
EXIST ALONG THE FRONT AS IT SHIFTS SEWD TO THE COAST TONIGHT. PLEASE
REFER TO MCD 2337 FOR ADDITIONAL SHORT-TERM INFORMATION.
..GRAMS.. 11/17/2011
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