SWODY1
SPC AC 041534
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1034 AM CDT FRI NOV 04 2011
VALID 041630Z - 051200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...ERN CAROLINAS...
H5 TEMPS AROUND MINUS 20 DEG C ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPR LOW MIGRATING
ACROSS THE SERN STATES WILL ENCOUNTER RESIDUAL UPR 50S/LWR 60S SFC
DEW POINTS THIS AFTN. MRGL INSTABILITY MAY RESULT IN ISOLD TSTMS
THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE DAY...BUT MORE WIDESPREAD CONVECTION
WILL BE LOCATED OVER THE GULF STREAM.
...CA/AZ INTO FOUR CORNERS AREA...
POTENT PV-ANOMALY SITUATED ALONG SRN FRINGE OF THE DEEP WRN STATES
UPR TROUGH WILL TRAVEL FROM OFF SANTA BARBARA COAST TO AZ OVERNIGHT.
BANDS OF CONVECTION/EMBEDDED TSTMS WILL AFFECT THE SRN CA COAST AS
THIS FEATURE AND ASSOCIATED STEEP LAPSE RATES COMBINE WITH
SUFFICIENT MOISTURE FEED. SMALL HAIL/GRAUPEL MAY OCCUR IN STRONGER
UPDRAFTS...BUT SVR WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. THESE STORMS WILL
DIMINISH THIS EVENING.
ISOLD TSTMS WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT AS ASCENT FOR
FORCING/MOISTENING OCCUR DOWNSTREAM OVER PARTS OF AZ AND ADJACENT
FOUR CORNERS REGION.
..RACY.. 11/04/2011
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