SWODY1
SPC AC 050100
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0800 PM CDT FRI NOV 04 2011
VALID 050100Z - 051200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...AZ THROUGH 4 CORNERS AREA...
FORCING FOR ASCENT WITHIN ZONE OF DCVA ACCOMPANYING THE SHORTWAVE
TROUGH DROPPING SEWD THROUGH SRN CA IS CONTRIBUTING TO DEVELOPMENT
OF BANDS OF CONVECTION ACROSS WRN AND CNTRL AZ. BOUNDARY LAYER
MOISTURE IS LIMITED...BUT STEEPER MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ASSOCIATED
WITH THE THERMAL TROUGH WILL ADVECT EWD OVERNIGHT...MAINTAINING AT
LEAST 300 J/KG MUCAPE. STRONG UPPER JET ROTATING THROUGH BASE OF THE
TROUGH IS RESULTING IN STRONG SHEAR THROUGH A RELATIVELY SHALLOW
CONVECTIVE LAYER. THESE LOW TOPPED STORMS MAY POSE A MARGINAL THREAT
FOR MAINLY ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS SMALL HAIL.
HOWEVER...ANY SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN LOW DUE TO LIMITED
INSTABILITY AND A STABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER.
..DIAL.. 11/05/2011
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