Saturday, November 5, 2011

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 051942
SWODY1
SPC AC 051941

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0241 PM CDT SAT NOV 05 2011

VALID 052000Z - 061200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
SPATIALLY REMOVED PORTIONS OF NM/CO FROM TSTM OUTLOOK IN CONCERT
WITH THE EASTWARD RACING COLD FRONT...BUT THE FORECAST SCENARIO IS
OTHERWISE UNCHANGED FROM THE PRIOR DISCUSSION AS BELOW.
ADDITIONALLY...A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES CANNOT BE RULED OUT FOR
COASTAL NORTHERN CA/ADJACENT WATERS THROUGH THIS EVENING...BUT ANY
SUCH POTENTIAL/COVERAGE SHOULD REMAIN SUB-10 PERCENT.

..GUYER.. 11/05/2011

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1047 AM CDT SAT NOV 05 2011/

MID-LVL IMPULSE OVER THE SRN ROCKIES WILL EJECT ENE ACROSS THE CNTRL
PLAINS TONIGHT. SCTD TSTMS OVER THE NM MOUNTAINS ARE BEING FORCED
BY STRONG ASCENT TIED WITH THE TROUGH AMIDST MEAGER MOISTURE IN THE
COLUMN. AS THE DISTURBANCE CONTINUES ENE...ISOLD TSTMS WILL LIKELY
EXTEND DOWNSTREAM INTO PARTS OF THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS BY EVENING.
NO SVR WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED.

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