Saturday, December 10, 2011

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 101248
SWODY1
SPC AC 101246

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0646 AM CST SAT DEC 10 2011

VALID 101300Z - 111200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

A RELATIVELY DRY AND STABLE AIR MASS COVERS MOST OF THE CONUS
TODAY...WITH NO THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY EXPECTED EXCEPT FOR PORTIONS
OF THE SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA AND PARTS OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF
TX.

...FL...
RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND MARGINAL CAPE VALUES WILL POSE THE
RISK OF ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
NO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED.

...TX...
AN AREA OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND IN COVERAGE THROUGH
THE DAY ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO AND SOUTH TX...AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. TONIGHT...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT
MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN SUFFICIENTLY TO WARRANT A RISK OF
ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES ACROSS THE AREA.

..HART/GARNER.. 12/10/2011

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