Sunday, December 25, 2011

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 260058
SWODY1
SPC AC 260056

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0656 PM CST SUN DEC 25 2011

VALID 260100Z - 261200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SABINE RIVER/ARKLATEX TO LOWER MS VALLEY...
A PERSISTENT SOUTHERN STREAM UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN GENERALLY
QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS INTO EARLY MONDAY. AT
THE SURFACE...UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE/CONTINENTAL
TRAJECTORIES...RELATIVELY COOL/STABLE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS
THE REGION AS THE WEST-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO SURFACE LOW/ASSOCIATED
MARINE FRONT WILL REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE THROUGH TONIGHT.

A MODEST/GRADUAL NOCTURNAL INCREASE OF WARM/MOIST ADVECTION ABOVE
THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A FURTHER INCREASE OF
CONVECTION THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. AS THIS OCCURS...SUFFICIENT
MOISTENING/WEAK DESTABILIZATION FOR PARCELS BASED NEAR/ABOVE 850MB
WILL BE CONDUCIVE FOR AT LEAST EMBEDDED/SPORADIC TSTMS THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY ACROSS THE REGION...ESPECIALLY INCLUDING PORTIONS OF LA INTO
WESTERN/SOUTHERN MS.

..GUYER.. 12/26/2011

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