SWODY1
SPC AC 051948
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0148 PM CST THU JAN 05 2012
VALID 052000Z - 061200Z
...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
NO CHANGE TO 1630Z FORECAST.
..PETERS.. 01/05/2012
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1025 AM CST THU JAN 05 2012/
...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
PATTERN WILL FURTHER DEAMPLIFY THIS PERIOD AS ERN TROUGH CONTINUES E
INTO THE ATLANTIC AND BC/WA DISTURBANCE SHEARS E ACROSS MT/ND.
TSTM RISK WILL REMAIN NEGLIGIBLE OVER THE CONUS GIVEN VERY DRY
AND/OR STABLE LOW LVL ENVIRONMENT IN PLACE OVER MOST AREAS.
MID LVL WARMING IN WAKE OF IMPULSE CROSSING WA/BC SHOULD LIMIT ANY
RISK FOR ADDITIONAL LIGHTNING ALONG THE NRN WA CST.
ELSEWHERE...WEAK RETURN FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE NWRN GULF OF
MEXICO...DOWNSTREAM FROM LOW AMPLITUDE TROUGH OVER NRN CHIHUAHUA.
MID LVL WARM LAYER AND RELATIVELY DRY LOW LVL ENVIRONMENT /PER
SATELLITE DERIVED PW DATA/ SHOULD PROHIBIT TSTM DEVELOPMENT ALONG
THE S TX GULF CST THROUGH THE PERIOD.
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