Thursday, January 12, 2012

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 130056
SWODY1
SPC AC 130054

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0654 PM CST THU JAN 12 2012

VALID 130100Z - 131200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CNTRL APPALACHIAN AREA...

STRONG FORCING FOR ASCENT WITHIN UPPER JET EXIT REGION HAS RESULTED
IN BANDS OF SHOWERS FROM THE SRN THROUGH CNTRL APPALACHIANS. EVENING
RAOB DATA INDICATE THE CONVECTIVE LAYER IS BELOW 20000 FT...BUT
EQUILIBRIUM TEMPERATURES ARE COLD ENOUGH AND INSTABILITY HAS BEEN
SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES. AS ZONE OF ASCENT
SHIFTS NEWD ABOVE AN INCREASINGLY STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER...LIGHTNING
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH BY 02-03Z.

..DIAL.. 01/13/2012

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