Saturday, January 7, 2012

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 080024
SWODY1
SPC AC 080022

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0622 PM CST SAT JAN 07 2012

VALID 080100Z - 081200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...THE NORTHERN GULF COAST STATES AND ADJACENT AREAS...
THE PRIMARY CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS REMAINS IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE SLOW MOVING OR STALLING
SURFACE FRONT ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF STATES. ALTHOUGH THE
BOUNDARY LAYER WITHIN AND NEAR THIS ZONE IS STABILIZING WITH THE
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING...ENOUGH INSTABILITY REMAINS...WHEN COUPLED
WITH FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK SHORT WAVE IMPULSE APPROACHING
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...TO SUPPORT THE RISK FOR CONTINUING WEAK
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN ALABAMA AND GEORGIA
INTO THE 03-04Z TIME FRAME. THIS COULD IMPACT PARTS OF THE SAVANNAH
RIVER VALLEY AND WESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA BEFORE IT DISSIPATES
COMPLETELY IN CONJUNCTION WITH WARMING MID-LEVELS.

MEANWHILE...LOW-LEVEL THERMAL/MOISTURE ADVECTION AND WEAK COOLING
ALOFT MAY SUPPORTED RENEWED WEAK THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT NEAR/WEST
OF THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA REGION EASTWARD ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI AFTER 06Z.

..KERR.. 01/08/2012

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