SWODY1
SPC AC 060036
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0636 PM CST THU JAN 05 2012
VALID 060100Z - 061200Z
...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...TEXAS GULF COAST...
LATEST OBSERVED AND FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE SUFFICIENT BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTENING HAS TAKEN PLACE ALONG TEXAS COASTAL AREAS TO
SUPPORT WEAK CAPE. HOWEVER...CAPPING LAYERS ARE STILL PRESENT.
DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF A BROAD UPPER LOW GRADUALLY SHIFTING EAST OF
THE MEXICAN PLATEAU INTO DEEP SOUTH TEXAS... LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE
AND WARM ADVECTION ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN WEAK...AND DEEP LAYER
UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION IS NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SUFFICIENT TO
SUPPORT AN APPRECIABLE RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS OVER INLAND AREAS.
COASTAL WATERS WILL ALSO PROBABLY REMAIN FREE OF THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY...BUT AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO MAY NOT BE OUT OF THE
QUESTION OVER THE OPEN WATERS...ROUGHLY 100-120 MILES EAST OF
BROWNSVILLE AND CORPUS CHRISTI.
..KERR.. 01/06/2012
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