SWODY1
SPC AC 071606
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1006 AM CST TUE FEB 07 2012
VALID 071630Z - 081200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...FL...
ABUNDANT MOISTURE EVIDENT ON MORNING SOUNDINGS OVER SRN FL SHOULD
CONTRIBUTE TO MODEST CONVECTIVE DESTABILIZATION WITH DIURNAL
HEATING. LIFT WILL BE PROVIDED BY A WEAK FRONTAL ZONE DRAPED ACROSS
THE MIDDLE PORTION OF THE PENINSULA AND MORNING SATELLITE IMAGERY
FURTHER REVEALS THAT CLOUD COVER NORTH OF THIS BOUNDARY WAS ACTING
TO ENHANCE LOW LEVEL THERMAL CONTRAST OVER THE REGION. A FEW TSTMS
APPEAR LIKELY AS SBCAPE CLIMBS TO BETWEEN 500-1000 J PER KG THIS
AFTERNOON. WITH GENERALLY WEAK/MOIST LAPSE RATES AND MEAGER
SHEAR...AN SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL SHOULD REMAIN NEGLIGIBLE.
...SRN CA...
A FEW CONVECTIVE BANDS MAY APPROACH THE COAST OF SRN CA TODAY AS
DEEP OFFSHORE TROUGH CONTINUES TO EVOLVE INTO CLOSED LOW DIGGING
SOUTH TOWARD BAJA. ANY TSTMS WITHIN THE PRECIPITATION BANDS SHOULD
REMAIN OFF THE COAST THROUGH EARLY WED.
...S TX...
RECENT GUIDANCE SHOWS ONLY A VERY LOW PROBABILITY OF CONVECTION AS A
SECONDARY SURGE OF COOLER AIR SPREADS INTO FAR S TX THROUGH EARLY
WED. GIVEN LIKELY ELEVATED NATURE OF ANY CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AND
THE PROSPECTS FOR ONLY VERY LIMITED INSTABILITY...GENERAL THUNDER
FCST HAS BEEN REMOVED IN THIS AREA.
..CARBIN.. 02/07/2012
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
No comments:
Post a Comment