SWODY3
SPC AC 080824
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0224 AM CST WED FEB 08 2012
VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
...SYNOPSIS...
WITH THE CONTINUED BLOCKING INFLUENCE OF A WESTERN CANADA HIGH
AMPLITUDE RIDGE...THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO FLUCTUATE
LITTLE INTO FRIDAY. ON THE PERIPHERY OF A PREVALENT LONGWAVE TROUGH
OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF CANADA AND THE CONUS...NUMERICAL GUIDANCE
VARIABILITY EXISTS REGARDING LOW AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE FEATURES WITHIN
THE SOUTHERN STREAM ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CONUS.
REGARDLESS...ANY TSTM POTENTIAL WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO SOUTH
FL...AND PERHAPS FAR SOUTH TX ON FRIDAY. FOR SOUTH FL...A FEW STRONG
TSTMS CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT LATE FRIDAY/EARLY SATURDAY
ESPECIALLY SHOULD A FASTER/MORE AMPLIFIED SOLUTION MATERIALIZE AS
PER THE 00Z ECMWF /VS THE 00Z NAM AND GFS/. EVEN SO...ANY SEVERE
POTENTIAL APPEARS TOO LIMITED/SPECULATIVE AT THIS JUNCTURE GIVEN THE
AFOREMENTIONED GUIDANCE VARIABILITY AND LIKELIHOOD OF LIMITED
DESTABILIZATION.
..GUYER.. 02/08/2012
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