Friday, March 23, 2012

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0334

ACUS11 KWNS 231829
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 231828
KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-231930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0334
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0128 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/SRN IL...SWRN IND...WRN KY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 101...

VALID 231828Z - 231930Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 101
CONTINUES.

LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD REMAIN THE PRIMARY
THREAT THIS AFTERNOON...WITH TORNADIC POTENTIAL LIKELY REMAINING
LOCALIZED/MARGINAL.

LONGER-LIVED SUPERCELL INVOF WASHINGTON/JEFFERSON COUNTIES IN SRN IL
HAD A HISTORY OF BRIEF TORNADIC TOUCHDOWNS. BUT THIS CELL HAS
RECENTLY MERGED WITHIN A GROWING CLUSTER ARCING E/SWD INTO WRN
KY...WHICH HAS DISRUPTED MORE INTENSE UPDRAFT ROTATION. FARTHER
E...ROUGHLY AN 80-100 SM CORRIDOR OF FEW TO SCATTERED CLOUDS BETWEEN
THIS CLUSTER AND THE LEADING EDGE OF THE REMNANT DRY SLOT HAS
ALLOWED SURFACE TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE MIDDLE 70S WITH DEW
POINTS FALLING INTO THE MIDDLE 50S. WITH LOWERING BOUNDARY LAYER RH
AND DEEPER MIXING...AMIDST A MODEST LOW-LEVEL WIND PROFILE...A
HAIL/WIND THREAT IS LARGELY EXPECTED TO EVOLVE E/NEWD.

..GRAMS.. 03/23/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...

LAT...LON 38358912 39308861 39528822 39658763 39248660 38778643
37798649 36758676 36778738 36878805 37808819 38108884
38358912

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