Friday, April 20, 2012

DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 200705
SWODY3
SPC AC 200703

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0203 AM CDT FRI APR 20 2012

VALID 221200Z - 231200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
MODELS INDICATE THAT AN AMPLIFIED UPPER FLOW...CHARACTERIZED BY
LARGE-SCALE RIDGING FROM THE PACIFIC COAST INTO THE PLAINS AND UPPER
TROUGHING EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC...WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD. THIS REGIME
...GENERALLY...DOES NOT APPEAR PARTICULARLY CONDUCIVE TO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL. HOWEVER...MUCH UNCERTAINTY REMAINS WITH
REGARD TO THE POTENTIALLY STRONG/DEEP LOW/MID-LEVEL CYCLOGENESIS
THAT MODELS INDICATE MAY TAKE PLACE WITHIN THE EASTERN TROUGH.
20/00Z ECMWF AND GFS BOTH SUGGEST AN INLAND TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW
CENTER ACROSS PORTIONS OF MID ATLANTIC COASTAL AREAS IS POSSIBLE
SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. IF THIS OCCURS...ORGANIZED STRONG/SEVERE
STORM DEVELOPMENT MAY NOT BE OUT OF THE QUESTION WITHIN ITS WARM
SECTOR.

..KERR.. 04/20/2012

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