MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0471

ACUS11 KWNS 062256
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 062255
TXZ000-070100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0471
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0555 PM CDT FRI APR 06 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...TX PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 062255Z - 070100Z

A THREAT FOR HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS MAY DEVELOP WITHIN THE NEXT
1-2 HRS OVER PORTIONS OF THE TX PANHANDLE. ISOLATED NATURE OF THE
THREAT SHOULD PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A WW.

SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN INCREASINGLY AGITATED CU FIELD INVOF A
DRYLINE LOCATED ALONG A LINE FROM DHT TO LBB. TEMPERATURES HAVE
REACHED INTO THE 70S WITH SBCAPE VALUES A0A 1000 J/KG. HOWEVER...
CIN REMAINS ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA. THE ONLY EXCEPTION IS ACROSS
THE FAR NRN TX PANHANDLE WHERE WINDS ARE SELY AND DEWPOINTS ARE IN
THE 50S. AS A RESULT...CONVECTIVE INITIATION REMAINS QUESTIONABLE.
WITH ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP...EFFECTIVE SHEAR A0A 35 KTS
SUGGESTS STORM ORGANIZATION IS POSSIBLE WITH THE PRIMARY THREATS OF
HAIL AND STRONG WINDS.

..MOSIER.. 04/06/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...

LAT...LON 35290045 34550025 34080021 33630015 33190016 33030041
33040080 33140140 33600183 34290219 35010254 35480260
35910250 36370202 36460148 36460121 36330093 35970061
35290045

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