SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100107
OKZ000-KSZ000-100230-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0483
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0807 PM CDT MON APR 09 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...SERN KS/NERN OK
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 100107Z - 100230Z
ELEVATED CONVECTION HAS GRADUALLY BEEN INCREASING ACROSS SERN
KS/NERN OK. THIS ACTIVITY IS LIKELY ROOTED NEAR 700-750MB WITH A
WLY STORM INFLOW AND STEEP LAPSE RATES EXPECTED TO CONTRIBUTE TO
ADDITIONAL UPDRAFTS/TSTMS OVER SCNTRL/SERN KS. CURRENT THINKING IS
HAIL WILL BE GENERATED WITH THE STRONGEST UPDRAFTS...SOME OF IT
APPROACHING OR EVEN EXCEEDING SEVERE LEVELS AT TIMES.
HOWEVER...WITH UPDRAFTS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ROOTED AT RELATIVELY HIGH
LEVELS IT IS NOT ANTICIPATED THAT SEVERE HAIL WILL BE WIDESPREAD
ENOUGH TO WARRANT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
..DARROW.. 04/10/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...
LAT...LON 37729729 37389554 36619491 36279586 37119761 37729729
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