Friday, April 13, 2012

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0511

ACUS11 KWNS 132240
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 132240
MOZ000-KSZ000-132345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0511
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0540 PM CDT FRI APR 13 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SE KS AND PORTIONS OF SW AND W CNTRL MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 161...

VALID 132240Z - 132345Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 161
CONTINUES.

TORNADO POTENTIAL IS INCREASING LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS ERN
PORTIONS OF WW 161 MAY NEED AN UPGRADE TO A TORNADO WATCH.
CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.

AS LOW LEVEL SHEAR INCREASES ACROSS SERN KS INTO SW/W-CNTRL
MO...SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS HAVE SHOWN SIGNS OF STRONGER ROTATION
OVER THE LAST HALF HOUR OR SO. IN FACT...WSR-88D VAD WIND PROFILES
FROM KINX SHOW LARGE LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS FAVORABLE FOR LOW LEVEL
ROTATION. AS THE LLJ CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN THIS EVENING ACROSS THE
MOIST/UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR...THE TORNADO THREAT MAY INCREASE FOR
SEVERAL HOURS INTO THE MID EVENING HOURS. THIS AREA WILL CONTINUE TO
BE MONITORED.

..LEITMAN.. 04/13/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...

LAT...LON 37089705 38659585 38899503 38919445 38819393 38299367
37459371 37029375 37009455 37089705

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