MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1113

ACUS11 KWNS 101903
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101902
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-102030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1113
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0202 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN AL...SWRN GA AND THE FL PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 368...

VALID 101902Z - 102030Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 368 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...THROUGH MUCH OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN GEORGIA...LATE THIS AFTERNOON. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT A NEW
WW WILL NOT BE NEEDED EAST OF THE CURRENT WATCH...BUT TRENDS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.

DISCUSSION...REFLECTIVITY STRUCTURE ASSOCIATED WITH AN INITIAL
INLAND ADVANCING STORM CLUSTER HAS TAKEN ON AN INCREASINGLY BOWED
CONFIGURATION... WITH SOME INCREASE IN SPEED OF NORTHEASTWARD
PROPAGATION...WHICH MAY CONTINUE THROUGH AREAS SOUTH/SOUTHEAST OF
COLUMBUS BETWEEN NOW AND 20Z. AS ACTIVITY PROGRESSES INTO AREAS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA TO THE SOUTH OF MACON TOWARD THE 21-22Z TIME
FRAME...IT IS NOT CERTAIN THAT IT WILL MAINTAIN STRENGTH WITH A
CONTINUING RISK FOR POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. LATEST RAPID
REFRESH SUGGESTS THAT THE SOUTHERLY 850 MB JET AXIS WILL REMAIN
FOCUSED NEAR THE GEORGIA/ALABAMA BORDER AREA THROUGH EARLY
EVENING...WITH LOW-LEVEL SHEAR DECREASING WITH EASTWARD EXTENT
ACROSS GEORGIA.

..KERR.. 06/10/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...

LAT...LON 32628556 33388479 33138302 32558243 31238271 29898408
29508482 28878537 28728696 29288705 30998560 31848510
32628556

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