Wednesday, August 22, 2012

DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 220849
SWOD48
SPC AC 220849

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0349 AM CDT WED AUG 22 2012

VALID 251200Z - 301200Z

...DISCUSSION...
RELATIVELY QUIESCENT PATTERN FOR HIGHER-END SEVERE COVERAGE IN MOST
OF THE CONUS THIS PERIOD. A SHORT WAVE TROUGH SHOULD DAMPEN AS IT
PROGRESSES ACROSS S-CNTRL CANADA ON D4...WITH A BELT OF STRONG
MID-LEVEL W/SWLYS LARGELY DIVORCED FROM A COLD FRONT PROGRESSING
SEWD IN THE UPPER MIDWEST. THEREAFTER...CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE HAS
NOW TRENDED TOWARD BUILDING AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE ROCKIES
AS A LARGE-SCALE TROUGH DIGS OFF THE PACIFIC NW COAST.

PRIMARY SEVERE POTENTIAL MAY EVOLVE FROM TC ISAAC WITH ANY POSSIBLE
CONUS LANDFALL. BUT AS NOTED BY NHC/HPC...CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY
EXISTS WITH EXTREMELY LARGE SPREAD IN GUIDANCE OVER THE EVENTUAL
EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE PERIOD.

..GRAMS.. 08/22/2012

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

No comments: