Thursday, August 30, 2012

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1842

ACUS11 KWNS 310206
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 310205
ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-ARZ000-310300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1842
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0905 PM CDT THU AUG 30 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...MS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 598...

VALID 310205Z - 310300Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 598 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE TORNADO THREAT ACROSS MS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE LATE
THIS EVENING LASTING INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. A NEW TORNADO WATCH
WILL NEED TO BE ISSUED PRIOR TO 03Z ACROSS PARTS OF MS.

DISCUSSION...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ISAAC IS LOCATED IN
SRN AR WITH SEVERAL DISTINCT BUT VERY NARROW RAINBANDS EXTENDING SWD
ACROSS MS. MESOANALYSIS SUGGESTS THE STRONGEST LOW-LEVEL FLOW IS
PRESENT FROM ABOUT 100 STATUTE MILES NORTH OF ISAACS CENTER WRAPPING
SEWD INTO NRN AND WRN MS ON THE NE QUADRANT OF ISAAC. REGIONAL
WSR-88D VWPS ALONG WITH THE JACKSON 00Z SOUNDING SHOW 50 TO 55 KT OF
FLOW IN THE 1 TO 3 KM LAYER WITH SOME BACKING NEAR THE SFC. THIS
WIND PROFILE ALONG WITH SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S F AND
LCL HEIGHTS AROUND 500 METERS SHOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR LOW-CLOUD BASE
ROTATION WITH POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE TORNADOES. THE TORNADO THREAT IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD AND MAY GRADUALLY
SHIFT NWD WITH TIME.

..BROYLES.. 08/31/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MOB...MEG...JAN...LIX...LZK...

LAT...LON 30358838 30368870 30478901 30188949 30348966 30618980
30759024 30959042 30989058 31349053 31349114 31399130
31299161 31809133 32269093 32639105 33229113 33999099
34139082 34119066 33979062 33979043 33829038 33798991
33898990 33848971 33858952 33768953 33708913 33718893
33818889 33818871 33698872 33668855 33668839 33748826
31918848 30948846 30358838

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

No comments: