Sunday, September 23, 2012

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 240025
SWODY1
SPC AC 240023

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0723 PM CDT SUN SEP 23 2012

VALID 240100Z - 241200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...DEEP S TX...
A CLUSTER OF STORMS CONTINUES TO PROPAGATE WWD INTO THE RIO GRADE
VALLEY. LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS MAY ACCOMPANY THESE STORMS BEFORE THEY
CROSS THE BORDER...BUT OTHERWISE THE LOSS OF HEATING WILL RESULT IN
WEAKENING THIS EVENING.

...SRN MO INTO AR...
WEAK WARM ADVECTION ALOFT WILL PERSIST ATOP RELATIVELY DRY AIR AT
THE SURFACE BUT BENEATH COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT WITH NW FLOW. THE
MOST LIKELY AREA FOR AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE WILL BE WITH
MIDLEVEL CONVECTION FROM SRN MO INTO AR THIS EVENING...WHICH SHOULD
REMAIN QUITE WEAK.

...ORE/ID INTO THE GREAT BASIN...
DESPITE THE EVENTUAL LOSS OF HEATING THIS EVENING...ISOLATED WEAK
CONVECTION MAY PERSIST IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN UPPER LOW WITH VERY
COOL AIR ALOFT. SEVERE WEATHER IS UNLIKELY BUT VERY SMALL HAIL AND
GUSTY WINDS MAY OCCUR.

..JEWELL.. 09/24/2012

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