Friday, October 26, 2012

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 270032
SWODY1
SPC AC 270030

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0730 PM CDT FRI OCT 26 2012

VALID 270100Z - 271200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...WESTERN GULF COAST REGION...
IT REMAINS FAIRLY MOIST ABOVE A POST FRONTAL SHALLOW STABLE SURFACE
BASED AIR MASS ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN TEXAS AND THE TEXAS COASTAL
PLAIN. HOWEVER...IT APPEARS THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES SUPPORTIVE OF
WEAK THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAVE NOW BECOME CONFINED TO PARTS OF DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS...ON THE SOUTHERN FRINGE OF MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS
ASSOCIATED WITH BROAD CENTRAL U.S. UPPER TROUGHING. ALTHOUGH MORE
SUBSTANTIVE DRYING MAY NOT OCCUR ACROSS THIS REGION UNTIL AFTER
06Z...GUIDANCE IS SUGGESTIVE THAT LINGERING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
MAY NOT PERSIST MUCH BEYOND THE 01-02Z TIME FRAME...WITH THE RISK
FOR ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY BECOMING INCREASINGLY
NEGLIGIBLE THEREAFTER.

..KERR.. 10/27/2012

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