Thursday, October 4, 2012

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 041610
SWODY1
SPC AC 041608

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1108 AM CDT THU OCT 04 2012

VALID 041630Z - 051200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...ERN OK...SERN KS...SWRN MO...NWRN AR...
A COLD FRONT TRAILING S/SWWD FROM A SFC LOW TRACKING NEWD FROM MN
INTO ONTARIO WILL SLOWLY PROGRESS E/SE ACROSS THE MID-MS VALLEY AND
SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP OVERNIGHT IN MOIST ADVECTION OVER THE FRONT FROM FAR SE
KS/SW MO INTO NE OK. WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY AND INCREASING WLY
MID LEVEL FLOW MAY ALLOW FOR ONE OR TWO SEMI-ORGANIZED STORMS. WITH
COOLING TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND STEEPENING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...A
LOW THREAT OF LARGE HAIL WILL EXIST.

..LEITMAN.. 10/04/2012

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