Monday, October 29, 2012

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 300042
SWODY1
SPC AC 300040

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0740 PM CDT MON OCT 29 2012

VALID 300100Z - 301200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NEW ENGLAND...
SANDY WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN TONIGHT AS IT MOVES WWD ALONG THE PA/MD
BORDER AND GETS ABSORBED INTO THE UPPER TROUGH. SELY LOW LEVEL FLOW
OFF THE ATLANTIC MAY ALLOW FOR A GRADUAL INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL
THETA-E INTO PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND...MAINLY NEAR THE COAST. WITH
COOLING ALOFT...THIS WILL CREATE WEAK INSTABILITY. THE 00Z CHH
SOUNDING SHOWS THE COOLING ALOFT AND AROUND 500 J/KG MUCAPE BUT A
LOW LEVEL INVERSION.

A FEW NARROW BANDS OF SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY DEVELOP OVER THE WATER
AND MOVE NWWD WITH A CONDITIONAL THREAT OF CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED
WIND GUSTS OVERNIGHT. THE TORNADO THREAT SHOULD REMAIN LOW DUE TO
COOL SURFACE TEMPERATURES WITH WINDS OFF THE WATER.

...ELSEWHERE...
ISOLATED WEAK STORMS OVER NRN ID SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS WITH LOSS OF HEATING.

..JEWELL.. 10/30/2012

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