Wednesday, November 28, 2012

DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 280640
SWODY2
SPC AC 280639

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1239 AM CST WED NOV 28 2012

VALID 291200Z - 301200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
QUASI-ZONAL UPPER-LEVEL FLOW REGIME EXPECTED OVER MOST OF THE CONUS
ON THU. A DAMPENING/LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL PROGRESS
EWD FROM THE NRN/CNTRL ROCKIES TO THE UPPER MIDWEST. A LARGE-SCALE
TROUGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OVER THE NERN PACIFIC WITH A SERIES OF
DISTURBANCES EJECTING NEWD TO THE PACIFIC NW. ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
PACIFIC NW COAST...STRONG FORCING FOR ASCENT COULD OVERCOME MINIMAL
BUOYANCY TO YIELD SPARSE LIGHTNING STRIKES THU AFTERNOON/NIGHT.

ALONG THE WRN GULF COAST...GUIDANCE HAS POORLY HANDLED THE DEGREE OF
DRYING IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT PASSAGE ON TUE. WITH ONLY A WEAK
LOW-LEVEL WARM THETA-E ADVECTION REGIME EXPECTED ON THU...TSTM
PROBABILITIES APPEAR TO BE BELOW 10 PERCENT.

..GRAMS.. 11/28/2012

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