Wednesday, November 14, 2012

DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 141726
SWODY2
SPC AC 141725

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1125 AM CST WED NOV 14 2012

VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A PROGRESSIVE FLOW PATTERN ALOFT IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE
U.S. THIS PERIOD...WITH SOME AMPLIFICATION WITH TIME -- PARTICULARLY
IN THE EAST AS A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH INITIALLY CROSSING THE PLAINS
STATES DIGS SEWD ACROSS THE OH/MID AND LOWER MS VALLEYS DURING THE
SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD.

OVERALL HOWEVER...PREVALENCE OF A LARGE/COOL SURFACE HIGH WILL LIMIT
INSTABILITY -- AND THUS CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL -- OVER MOST OF THE
COUNTRY.

THE TWO EXCEPTIONS TO THE OVERALL LACK OF CONVECTION WILL EXIST
ACROSS PARTS OF THE SWRN AND SERN CONUS -- SPECIFICALLY ACROSS SRN
CA WHERE SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS ENERGETIC SHORT-WAVE TROUGHING
CROSSES THE AREA...AND ACROSS PARTS OF FL/GA/SC WHERE
MODEST/GENERALLY ELEVATED INSTABILITY SHOULD PERSIST N OF THE
REMNANT SURFACE FRONT. OVERALL HOWEVER...LIMITED CONVECTIVE
POTENTIAL AND LITTLE IF ANY SEVERE THREAT CAN BE EXPECTED
COUNTRY-WIDE.

..GOSS.. 11/14/2012

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