Tuesday, November 13, 2012

DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 131840
SWODY3
SPC AC 131838

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1238 PM CST TUE NOV 13 2012

VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

CORRECTED FOR HEADLINE

...DISCUSSION...

THE PROGRESSIVE SYNOPTIC REGIME WILL PERSIST THURSDAY WITH GENERAL
PHASING OF SRN AND NRN STREAMS. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL BE LOCATED
OVER GA/SC EARLY THURSDAY...BUT WILL MOVE TO THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD
LATER IN THE DAY. ELEVATED CONVECTION WILL BE ONGOING ACROSS SC IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THIS FEATURE AND WILL SHIFT EWD WITH TIME.
LIGHTNING ACTIVITY WILL PROBABLY REMAIN LIMITED DUE TO WEAK
INSTABILITY.

ELSEWHERE...CONVECTION MAY DEVELOP ACROSS CNTRL/SRN CA THURSDAY
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT WITHIN ZONE OF UPPER DIVERGENCE AND STEEP
LAPSE RATES ASSOCIATED WITH APPROACHING SRN BRANCH SHORTWAVE TROUGH.
COVERAGE OF ANY LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED TO BE SPARSE DUE TO LIKELIHOOD
OF WEAK INSTABILITY.

..DIAL.. 11/13/2012

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