Thursday, November 1, 2012

DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 010804
SWOD48
SPC AC 010803

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0303 AM CDT THU NOV 01 2012

VALID 041200Z - 091200Z

...DISCUSSION...
BOTH THE ECMWF AND GFS ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT REGARDING THE
EVOLUTION OF ERN U.S. TROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. AS NWLY FLOW DEEPENS
EAST OF THE ROCKIES A WEAK SFC COLD FRONT SHOULD SETTLE INTO THE
GULF STATES. WHILE SCATTERED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ALONG/NEAR THIS BOUNDARY LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGEST INSTABILITY WILL BE
INADEQUATE TO WARRANT AN ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK THIS
PERIOD.

..DARROW.. 11/01/2012

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