Wednesday, December 12, 2012

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 121621
SWODY1
SPC AC 121619

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1019 AM CST WED DEC 12 2012

VALID 121630Z - 131200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

MORNING WATER VAPOR LOOPS SHOW A POTENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING
ACROSS LA/MS...WITH DEEP/MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW PRESENT ACROSS FL.
WIDESPREAD MID/HIGH CLOUDS ARE ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA WHICH WILL
LIMIT DAYTIME HEATING AND DESTABILIZATION. HOWEVER... INCREASING
LARGE SCALE FORCING WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SCATTERED AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SIMILAR TO THE LAST COUPLE OF
DAYS...DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR IS SUFFICIENT FOR A RISK OF
ORGANIZED/ROTATING STORMS. THE PRIMARY LIMITING FACTOR FOR SEVERE
STORMS IS THE RATHER WEAK AND VEERED LOW LEVEL WINDS WHICH ARE
LIKELY TO LIMIT CONVERGENCE AND STORM INTENSITY. NEVERTHELESS...
LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGEST CELLS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

..HART/DISPIGNA.. 12/12/2012

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