DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 111619
SWODY1
SPC AC 111617

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1017 AM CST TUE DEC 11 2012

VALID 111630Z - 121200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE FL
PENINSULA...

...FL...
BROAD...DEEP SOUTHWEST FLOW IS PRESENT TODAY OVER THE SOUTHEAST
UNITED STATES. A SURFACE COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE FL BIG BEND
REGION INTO SOUTHEAST GA. DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S
COUPLED WITH SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS WILL RESULT IN AFTERNOON
MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000-2000 J/KG ACROSS MUCH OF THE FL PENINSULA.
LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE DAY...AND WILL BE
QUITE VEERED ACROSS THE PENINSULA. THIS SUGGESTS THAT COVERAGE OF
INTENSE STORMS WILL BE LIMITED. THE AREA WHERE ORGANIZED STORMS
APPEAR MOST LIKELY WOULD BE ALONG THE EAST COAST WHERE SEA-BREEZE
INTERACTIONS MAY ENHANCE CONVERGENCE...AND OVER SOUTH FL ALONG A
WEAK REMNANT BOUNDARY. LOCALLY GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS APPEAR TO BE
THE MAIN THREAT...BUT HAIL OR A BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

..HART/CORFIDI.. 12/11/2012

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