Thursday, January 24, 2013

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 241931
SWODY1
SPC AC 241929

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0129 PM CST THU JAN 24 2013

VALID 242000Z - 251200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

..GOSS.. 01/24/2013

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0949 AM CST THU JAN 24 2013/

...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
PATTERN WILL FURTHER DEAMPLIFY OVER MOST OF THE CONUS DURING THE
NEXT 24 HRS AS ERN CANADIAN VORTEX REFORMS ENE OFF THE CST OF
LABRADOR...AND SHORTWAVE IMPULSE NOW MOVING OFF THE MID ATLANTIC CST
CONTINUES E INTO THE ATLANTIC. IN THE WAKE OF THESE FEATURES...AN
UPSTREAM DISTURBANCE NOW OVER SK WILL...HOWEVER...SOMEWHAT DEEPEN AS
IT MOVES ESE INTO THE NRN PLNS/UPR MS VLY. AT THE SAME TIME...UPR
LOW/TROUGH NOW OFF THE SRN CA CST WILL CONTINUE TO EDGE SLOWLY E
TOWARD BAJA CA.

BOTH LOW-LVL AND MID-LVL BUOYANCY LIKELY WILL REMAIN WEAK IN ALL
AREAS. ONE EXCEPTION WILL BE WELL OFF THE MID ATLANTIC CST...WHERE
LOW-LVL INSTABILITY MAY PROVE SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLD STORMS IN ZONE OF
POST-IMPULSE...LOW-LVL CAA. OTHERWISE...ELEVATED BUOYANCY EXPECTED
TO REMAIN TOO FEEBLE FOR THUNDER LATE TNGT/EARLY FRI OVER THE LWR
MS/LWR TN VLYS...IN DEVELOPING WAA ZONE ASSOCIATED WITH SYSTEM
CROSSING THE N CNTRL STATES.

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