Wednesday, March 13, 2013

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 140057
SWODY1
SPC AC 140054

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0754 PM CDT WED MAR 13 2013

VALID 140100Z - 141200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...ERN ND THROUGH CNTRL MN...

BAND OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION FROM SRN MANITOBA INTO NERN ND WILL
DEVELOP SEWD INTO MN OVERNIGHT IN ASSOCIATION WITH A PROGRESSIVE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH EMBEDDED WITHIN NWLY FLOW ALOFT. STEEP MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES AND ASCENT ACCOMPANYING THIS FEATURE WILL PROMOTE A
LAYER OF WEAK CAPE BASED AROUND 700 MB. CLOUDS IN VISIBLE IMAGERY
ALREADY LOOK SOMEWHAT CONVECTIVE IN NATURE OVER NERN ND...AND A FEW
LIGHTING STRIKES CANNOT BE RULED OUT AS ACTIVITY DEVELOPS SEWD INTO
MN OVERNIGHT. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE VERY WEAK INSTABILITY /AOB
100 J/KG/ THROUGH THE CONVECTIVE LAYER SUGGESTING COVERAGE OF
STRIKES IF THEY OCCUR AT ALL SHOULD REMAIN BELOW THE 10% THRESHOLD.

..DIAL.. 03/14/2013

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