DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 290803
SWOD48
SPC AC 290802

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0302 AM CDT FRI MAR 29 2013

VALID 011200Z - 061200Z

...DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE PATTERN THROUGH THE
PERIOD...SHOWING LITTLE CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
CONUS.

FOR D4-D6...AN ERN TROUGH AND SURFACE HIGH WILL KEEP CONDITIONS DRY
AND LIMIT MOISTURE RETURN ACROSS THE CNTRL AND ERN STATES.

FOR D7-D8...MODELS HINT AT A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ALONG THE GULF
COAST AND AFFECTING THE SERN STATES. THIS SCENARIO WOULD LIKELY
STILL ONLY RESULT IN A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
REMAINS LIMITED AND LARGER INSTABILITY REMAINS OVER THE WATER.

..JEWELL.. 03/29/2013

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